Set market cap
125 cards tracked dailyWhat to target in Fates Collide
The top 10 cards are 71% of the set’s $958.00 estimated singles cost — plan these first and the rest follows on a normal budget.
| # | Card | Number | Rarity | Market | PSA 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alakazam-EX | #125 | Rare Secret | $184.76 | $5,879.11 |
| 2 |  Umbreon-EX | #119 | Rare Ultra | $143.97 | $4,306.54 |
| 3 |  M Alakazam-EX | #118 | Rare Ultra | $83.88 | $902.50 |
| 4 |  Umbreon-EX | #55 | Rare Holo EX | $77.95 | $1,442.97 |
| 5 |  Lugia BREAK | #79 | Rare BREAK | $39.95 | $796.00 |
| 6 |  Glaceon-EX | #116 | Rare Ultra | $36.44 | $839.50 |
| 7 |  Alakazam-EX | #117 | Rare Ultra | $31.76 | $940.00 |
| 8 |  Snorlax | #77 | Rare | $30.98 | $426.09 |
| 9 |  Team Rocket's Handiwork | #124 | Rare Ultra | $26.53 | $383.09 |
| 10 |  M Altaria-EX | #121 | Rare Ultra | $25.42 | $620.00 |
How Fates Collide is built
Rarity breakdown
Price distribution
Most cards are bulk — the set’s value concentrates in a few chase cards.
Singles or sealed?
Sealed product comparison
Fates Collide pull-rate estimates
Community-estimated era averages from large pack-opening aggregates — not official Pokémon data. “Specific card” is the expected packs for ONE particular card of that rarity.
| Rarity | Cards in set | Any pull | Specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare Holo EX | 13 | 1 in 9 | 1 in 117 |
| Rare BREAK | 5 | 1 in 10 | 1 in 50 |
| Rare Ultra | 9 | 1 in 18 | 1 in 162 |
| Rare Secret | 1 | 1 in 130 | 1 in 130 |
Fates Collide promo cards
Black Star promos tied to Fates Collide — from its ETBs, collection boxes and prerelease events. They live in the XY Black Star Promos set, so a true master-set run includes them separately.
Which Fates Collide cards are worth grading?
Positive expected value after ~$25 fees at live PSA prices and this set's real gem rates.
Alakazam-EX #125raw $184.76 → PSA 10 $5,879.11 31.8×EV +$842.06Umbreon-EX #119raw $143.97 → PSA 10 $4,306.54 29.9×EV +$743.07M Alakazam-EX #118raw $83.88 → PSA 10 $902.50 10.8×EV +$192.59Umbreon-EX #55raw $77.95 → PSA 10 $1,442.97 18.5×EV +$300.61Lugia BREAK #79raw $39.95 → PSA 10 $796.00 19.9×EV +$211.50Glaceon-EX #116raw $36.44 → PSA 10 $839.50 23×EV +$163.47Fees eat most of the margin. Grade to preserve a pristine pull, not for profit.
Premiums and EV use tonight’s PSA prices and this set’s real gem rates — not projections.
Protect your Fates Collide cards
This set has 2 cards worth $100+ — sleeve-and-toploader territory at minimum, and the chase cards deserve double-sleeving.
Every card worth more than bulk goes in a sleeve before anything else touches it.
Amazon →eBay →The archival-safe standard for cards you handle — double-sleeve chase cards with a perfect-fit inner.
Amazon →eBay →Affiliate links — purchases support CardPrice at no extra cost. Full guide: how to build & store a master set.
Sealed products
![Shiny Kalos Tin [Xerneas EX]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/121394.jpg?v=3)
![Shiny Kalos Tin [Yveltal EX]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/121395.jpg?v=3)
![Fates Collide Three Pack Blister [Vivillon]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/118340.jpg?v=3)
![BREAK Evolution Box [Ho-oh and Lugia]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/121392.jpg?v=3)
![Fates Collide Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/276598.jpg?v=3)
All cards 129
Most valuable cards in Fates Collide
- Alakazam-EX #125 — $184.76
- Umbreon-EX #119 — $143.97
- N #105A — $118.70
- M Alakazam-EX #118 — $83.88
- Umbreon-EX #55 — $77.95
- Shauna #111A — $42.83
- Lugia BREAK #79 — $39.95
- Glaceon-EX #116 — $36.44
- Alakazam-EX #117 — $31.76
- Zygarde-EX #54A — $26.79
About Fates Collide
Fates Collide is a Pokémon TCG expansion in the XY series, released on 2016-05-02. The set contains 129 cards — 124 in the base set plus 5 secret rares. The combined market value of a complete set is currently $1,071.06, with Alakazam-EX #125 as the most valuable card at $184.76. Prices update nightly from live market data.