Set market cap
235 cards tracked dailyWhat to target in Lost Thunder
The top 10 cards are 47% of the set’s $2,822.00 estimated singles cost — plan these first and the rest follows on a normal budget.
| # | Card | Number | Rarity | Market | PSA 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mimikyu-GX | #226 | Rare Rainbow | $245.64 | $1,792.00 |
| 2 |  Lugia-GX | #227 | Rare Rainbow | $240.16 | $1,807.89 |
| 3 |  Professor Elm's Lecture | #213 | Rare Ultra | $152.85 | $770.48 |
| 4 |  Lugia-GX | #207 | Rare Ultra | $111.52 | $1,539.94 |
| 5 |  Mimikyu-GX | #206 | Rare Ultra | $106.90 | $1,159.85 |
| 6 |  Tyranitar-GX | #223 | Rare Rainbow | $104.29 | $652.50 |
| 7 |  Shuckle-GX | #215 | Rare Rainbow | $103.11 | $452.50 |
| 8 |  Suicune-GX | #220 | Rare Rainbow | $97.20 | $788.50 |
| 9 |  Whitney | #214 | Rare Ultra | $89.39 | $318.14 |
| 10 |  Alolan Ninetales-GX | #225 | Rare Rainbow | $86.78 | $486.76 |
How Lost Thunder is built
Rarity breakdown
Price distribution
Most cards are bulk — the set’s value concentrates in a few chase cards.
Singles or sealed?
Sealed product comparison
Lost Thunder pull-rate estimates
Community-estimated era averages from large pack-opening aggregates — not official Pokémon data. “Specific card” is the expected packs for ONE particular card of that rarity.
| Rarity | Cards in set | Any pull | Specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare Holo GX | 13 | 1 in 9 | 1 in 117 |
| Rare Prism Star | 7 | 1 in 12 | 1 in 84 |
| Rare Ultra | 20 | 1 in 18 | 1 in 360 |
| Rare Secret | 9 | 1 in 100 | 1 in 900 |
| Rare Rainbow | 13 | 1 in 110 | 1 in 1,430 |
Lost Thunder promo cards
Black Star promos tied to Lost Thunder — from its ETBs, collection boxes and prerelease events. They live in the SM Black Star Promos set, so a true master-set run includes them separately.
Which Lost Thunder cards are worth grading?
Positive expected value after ~$25 fees at live PSA prices and this set's real gem rates.
Mimikyu-GX #226raw $245.64 → PSA 10 $1,792.00 7.3×EV +$459.92Lugia-GX #227raw $240.16 → PSA 10 $1,807.89 7.5×EV +$518.73Professor Elm's Lecture #213raw $152.85 → PSA 10 $770.48 5×EV +$171.45Lugia-GX #207raw $111.52 → PSA 10 $1,539.94 13.8×EV +$404.42Mimikyu-GX #206raw $106.90 → PSA 10 $1,159.85 10.8×EV +$286.40Tyranitar-GX #223raw $104.29 → PSA 10 $652.50 6.3×EV +$151.39Strong PSA 10 premium — the math works only on gem-worthy copies.
Fees eat most of the margin. Grade to preserve a pristine pull, not for profit.
Judge #209raw $66.73 → PSA 10 $143.85 2.2×EV −$15.19
Blacephalon-GX #219raw $33.41 → PSA 10 $92.00 2.8×EV +$22.34
Slowpoke #54raw $21.59 → PSA 10 $50.17 2.3×
Dedenne #142raw $17.76 → PSA 10 $57.05 3.2×
Alolan Ninetales-GX #132raw $15.66 → PSA 10 $86.00 5.5×EV +$8.80
Nihilego #106raw $14.02 → PSA 10 $97.78 7×Premiums and EV use tonight’s PSA prices and this set’s real gem rates — not projections.
What collectors say about Lost Thunder
Creators on Lost Thunder
Synthesized from widely-reported collector consensus — see a take that’s off? Use the report link on any card page.
Protect your Lost Thunder cards
This set has 7 cards worth $100+ — sleeve-and-toploader territory at minimum, and the chase cards deserve double-sleeving.
Every card worth more than bulk goes in a sleeve before anything else touches it.
Amazon →eBay →The archival-safe standard for cards you handle — double-sleeve chase cards with a perfect-fit inner.
Amazon →eBay →Affiliate links — purchases support CardPrice at no extra cost. Full guide: how to build & store a master set.
Sealed products
![Lost Thunder Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/276583.jpg?v=3)
![Lost Thunder 3 Pack Blister [Altaria]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/177904.jpg?v=3)
All cards 240
Most valuable cards in Lost Thunder
- Mimikyu-GX #226 — $245.64
- Lugia-GX #227 — $240.16
- Professor Elm's Lecture #213 — $152.85
- Lugia-GX #207 — $111.52
- Mimikyu-GX #206 — $106.90
- Tyranitar-GX #223 — $104.29
- Shuckle-GX #215 — $103.11
- Suicune-GX #220 — $97.20
- Whitney #214 — $89.39
- Alolan Ninetales-GX #225 — $86.78
About Lost Thunder
Lost Thunder is a Pokémon TCG expansion in the Sun & Moon series, released on 2018-11-02. The set contains 240 cards — 214 in the base set plus 26 secret rares. The combined market value of a complete set is currently $2,591.57, with Mimikyu-GX #226 as the most valuable card at $245.64. Prices update nightly from live market data.