What to target in Ultra Prism

The top 10 cards are 63% of the set’s $2,193.00 estimated singles cost — plan these first and the rest follows on a normal budget.

#	Card	Number	Rarity	Market	PSA 10
1	Lillie	#151	Rare Ultra	$468.18	$1,425.00
2	Cynthia	#148	Rare Ultra	$246.11	$765.50
3	Lusamine	#153	Rare Ultra	$163.81	$345.00
4	Leafeon-GX	#157	Rare Rainbow	$92.99	$453.00
5	Glaceon-GX	#159	Rare Rainbow	$85.94	$321.79
6	Crushing Hammer	#166	Rare Secret	$73.49	$58.96
7	Lunala-GX	#172	Rare Secret	$67.39	$243.12
8	Solgaleo-GX	#173	Rare Secret	$60.88	$285.80
9	Gardenia	#149	Rare Ultra	$57.28	$153.42
10	Mars	#154	Rare Ultra	$56.78	$214.89

How Ultra Prism is built

Singles or sealed?

Sealed product comparison

Ultra Prism pull-rate estimates

Community-estimated era averages from large pack-opening aggregates — not official Pokémon data. “Specific card” is the expected packs for ONE particular card of that rarity.

Ultra Prism promo cards

Black Star promos tied to Ultra Prism — from its ETBs, collection boxes and prerelease events. They live in the SM Black Star Promos set, so a true master-set run includes them separately.

Kommo-o-GX#SM71 · Prerelease promoDawn Wings Necrozma-GX#SM101 · Prerelease promoDusk Mane Necrozma-GX#SM102 · Prerelease promoLunala-GX#SM103 · Collection box promoLunala-GX#SM103A · Collection box promoSolgaleo-GX#SM104 · Collection box promoSolgaleo-GX#SM104A · Collection box promoDawn Wings Necrozma#SM123 · Collection box promoDusk Mane Necrozma#SM124 · Collection box promo

Which Ultra Prism cards are worth grading?

Tier 1 — grade theseWorth grading

Positive expected value after ~$25 fees at live PSA prices and this set's real gem rates.

Lillie #151raw $468.18 → PSA 10 $1,425.00 3×EV +$288.33Cynthia #148raw $246.11 → PSA 10 $765.50 3.1×EV +$168.30Lusamine #153raw $163.81 → PSA 10 $345.00 2.1×EV +$41.37Leafeon-GX #157raw $92.99 → PSA 10 $453.00 4.9×EV +$139.62Glaceon-GX #159raw $85.94 → PSA 10 $321.79 3.7×EV +$69.13Lunala-GX #172raw $67.39 → PSA 10 $243.12 3.6×EV +$55.33

Tier 2 — grade clean copiesClean copies only

Strong PSA 10 premium — the math works only on gem-worthy copies.

Lana #150raw $45.46 → PSA 10 $155.00 3.4×EV +$7.46Giratina ◇ #58raw $25.30 → PSA 10 $1,600.00 63.2×Pheromosa-GX #140raw $21.68 → PSA 10 $120.00 5.5×EV +$13.66Darkrai ◇ #77raw $21.24 → PSA 10 $1,025.00 48.3×

Tier 3 — personal collectionCollection only

Fees eat most of the margin. Grade to preserve a pristine pull, not for profit.

Gardenia #149raw $57.28 → PSA 10 $153.42 2.7×EV +$15.68Volkner #156raw $33.46 → PSA 10 $92.03 2.8×EV −$10.10Leafeon-GX #13raw $11.73 → PSA 10 $94.03 8×EV +$20.27Missing Clover #168raw $10.27 → PSA 10 $80.87 7.9×EV +$16.67

Premiums and EV use tonight’s PSA prices and this set’s real gem rates — not projections.

What collectors say about Ultra Prism

Creators on Ultra Prism

▶Should I Open it? Or Should I Keep it Sealed? - Episode 161 - Ultra Prism (x3) #pokemontcgShortPocketMonster▶ULTRA PRISM IS HERE! - Opening NEW POKEMON CARDS! (must see)Leonhart▶Opening a Pokemon Ultra Prism Booster Box!PokeHEX▶POKEMON ULTRA PRISM BOOSTER BOX OPENING!!!Leonhart

Synthesized from widely-reported collector consensus — see a take that’s off? Use the report link on any card page.

Protect your Ultra Prism cards

This set has 3 cards worth $100+ — sleeve-and-toploader territory at minimum, and the chase cards deserve double-sleeving.

Affiliate links — purchases support CardPrice at no extra cost. Full guide: how to build & store a master set.

Related Sun & Moon sets

SM Trainer Kit: Alolan Sandslash & Alolan Ninetales2018 · 60 cardsForbidden Light2018 · 150 cardsCrimson Invasion2017 · 126 cardsShining Legends2017 · 81 cards