What to target in Ultra Prism

The top 10 cards are 59% of the set’s $2,213.00 estimated singles cost — plan these first and the rest follows on a normal budget.

#	Card	Number	Rarity	Market	PSA 10
1	Lillie	#151	Rare Ultra	$461.70	$1,675.95
2	Cynthia	#148	Rare Ultra	$239.52	$780.50
3	Lusamine	#153	Rare Ultra	$158.26	$365.45
4	Leafeon-GX	#157	Rare Rainbow	$89.62	$417.16
5	Glaceon-GX	#159	Rare Rainbow	$82.62	$330.00
6	Lunala-GX	#172	Rare Secret	$60.17	$216.76
7	Mars	#154	Rare Ultra	$57.64	$175.21
8	Solgaleo-GX	#173	Rare Secret	$53.50	$264.88
9	Crushing Hammer	#166	Rare Secret	$52.13	$62.00
10	Gardenia	#149	Rare Ultra	$51.02	$152.45

How Ultra Prism is built

Singles or sealed?

Sealed product comparison

Ultra Prism pull-rate estimates

Community-estimated era averages from large pack-opening aggregates — not official Pokémon data. “Specific card” is the expected packs for ONE particular card of that rarity.

Ultra Prism promo cards

Black Star promos tied to Ultra Prism — from its ETBs, collection boxes and prerelease events. They live in the SM Black Star Promos set, so a true master-set run includes them separately.

Kommo-o-GX#SM71 · Prerelease promoDawn Wings Necrozma-GX#SM101 · Prerelease promoDusk Mane Necrozma-GX#SM102 · Prerelease promoLunala-GX#SM103 · Collection box promoLunala-GX#SM103A · Collection box promoSolgaleo-GX#SM104 · Collection box promoSolgaleo-GX#SM104A · Collection box promoDawn Wings Necrozma#SM123 · Collection box promoDusk Mane Necrozma#SM124 · Collection box promo

Which Ultra Prism cards are worth grading?

Tier 1 — grade theseWorth grading

Positive expected value after ~$25 fees at live PSA prices and this set's real gem rates.

Lillie #151raw $461.70 → PSA 10 $1,675.95 3.6×EV +$380.11Cynthia #148raw $239.52 → PSA 10 $780.50 3.3×EV +$180.96Lusamine #153raw $158.26 → PSA 10 $365.45 2.3×EV +$55.60Leafeon-GX #157raw $89.62 → PSA 10 $417.16 4.7×EV +$130.16Glaceon-GX #159raw $82.62 → PSA 10 $330.00 4×EV +$84.05Lunala-GX #172raw $60.17 → PSA 10 $216.76 3.6×EV +$49.46

Tier 2 — grade clean copiesClean copies only

Strong PSA 10 premium — the math works only on gem-worthy copies.

Lana #150raw $45.92 → PSA 10 $162.36 3.5×EV +$11.85Xurkitree-GX #160raw $33.29 → PSA 10 $142.74 4.3×EV +$20.19Celesteela-GX #162raw $27.14 → PSA 10 $134.13 4.9×EV +$19.31Giratina ◇ #58raw $21.13 → PSA 10 $1,414.00 66.9×Darkrai ◇ #77raw $21.10 → PSA 10 $1,244.34 59×Pheromosa-GX #140raw $20.55 → PSA 10 $105.00 5.1×EV +$9.40

Tier 3 — personal collectionCollection only

Fees eat most of the margin. Grade to preserve a pristine pull, not for profit.

Gardenia #149raw $51.02 → PSA 10 $152.45 3×EV +$16.42Volkner #156raw $32.31 → PSA 10 $95.49 3×EV −$7.38Alolan Vulpix #30raw $30.93 → PSA 10 $59.15 1.9×EV −$16.62Drifloon #51raw $17.48 → PSA 10 $40.53 2.3×Looker #152raw $15.49 → PSA 10 $105.35 6.8×EV +$21.85Eevee #105raw $15.34 → PSA 10 $63.82 4.2×EV −$6.76

Premiums and EV use tonight’s PSA prices and this set’s real gem rates — not projections.

What collectors say about Ultra Prism

Creators on Ultra Prism

▶POKEMON ULTRA PRISM BOOSTER BOX OPENING!!!Leonhart▶Should I Open it? Or Should I Keep it Sealed? - Episode 161 - Ultra Prism (x3) #pokemontcgShortPocketMonster▶ULTRA PRISM IS HERE! - Opening NEW POKEMON CARDS! (must see)Leonhart▶Pokémon TCG: Sun & Moon—Ultra Prism, Available Now!The Official Pokémon YouTube channel

Synthesized from widely-reported collector consensus — see a take that’s off? Use the report link on any card page.

Protect your Ultra Prism cards

This set has 3 cards worth $100+ — sleeve-and-toploader territory at minimum, and the chase cards deserve double-sleeving.

Affiliate links — purchases support CardPrice at no extra cost. Full guide: how to build & store a master set.

Related Sun & Moon sets

SM Trainer Kit: Alolan Sandslash & Alolan Ninetales2018 · 60 cardsForbidden Light2018 · 150 cardsCrimson Invasion2017 · 126 cardsShining Legends2017 · 81 cards