What to target in Ultra Prism

The top 10 cards are 61% of the set’s $2,346.00 estimated singles cost — plan these first and the rest follows on a normal budget.

#	Card	Number	Rarity	Market	PSA 10
1	Lillie	#151	Rare Ultra	$468.18	$1,431.25
2	Cynthia	#148	Rare Ultra	$242.83	$755.73
3	Lusamine	#153	Rare Ultra	$162.86	$314.64
4	Giratina ◇	#58	Rare Prism Star	$97.97	—
5	Leafeon-GX	#157	Rare Rainbow	$94.46	$500.00
6	Glaceon-GX	#159	Rare Rainbow	$83.78	$412.19
7	Darkrai ◇	#77	Rare Prism Star	$83.46	$1,875.00
8	Crushing Hammer	#166	Rare Secret	$74.83	$58.75
9	Lunala-GX	#172	Rare Secret	$67.61	$330.00
10	Solgaleo-GX	#173	Rare Secret	$61.40	$386.70

How Ultra Prism is built

Singles or sealed?

Sealed product comparison

Ultra Prism pull-rate estimates

Community-estimated era averages from large pack-opening aggregates — not official Pokémon data. “Specific card” is the expected packs for ONE particular card of that rarity.

Ultra Prism promo cards

Black Star promos tied to Ultra Prism — from its ETBs, collection boxes and prerelease events. They live in the SM Black Star Promos set, so a true master-set run includes them separately.

Kommo-o-GX#SM71 · Prerelease promoDawn Wings Necrozma-GX#SM101 · Prerelease promoDusk Mane Necrozma-GX#SM102 · Prerelease promoLunala-GX#SM103 · Collection box promoLunala-GX#SM103A · Collection box promoSolgaleo-GX#SM104 · Collection box promoSolgaleo-GX#SM104A · Collection box promoDawn Wings Necrozma#SM123 · Collection box promoDusk Mane Necrozma#SM124 · Collection box promo

Which Ultra Prism cards are worth grading?

Tier 1 — grade theseWorth grading

Positive expected value after ~$25 fees at live PSA prices and this set's real gem rates.

Lillie #151raw $468.18 → PSA 10 $1,431.25 3.1×EV +$278.72Cynthia #148raw $242.83 → PSA 10 $755.73 3.1×EV +$161.00Lusamine #153raw $162.86 → PSA 10 $314.64 1.9×EV +$29.41Leafeon-GX #157raw $94.46 → PSA 10 $500.00 5.3×EV +$156.94Glaceon-GX #159raw $83.78 → PSA 10 $412.19 4.9×EV +$111.56Lunala-GX #172raw $67.61 → PSA 10 $330.00 4.9×EV +$94.67

Tier 2 — grade clean copiesClean copies only

Strong PSA 10 premium — the math works only on gem-worthy copies.

Darkrai ◇ #77raw $83.46 → PSA 10 $1,875.00 22.5×Lana #150raw $45.22 → PSA 10 $157.64 3.5×EV +$9.22Xurkitree-GX #160raw $35.40 → PSA 10 $135.95 3.8×EV +$21.71Volkner #156raw $32.94 → PSA 10 $100.51 3.1×EV −$5.32Pheromosa-GX #140raw $21.45 → PSA 10 $120.00 5.6×EV +$17.57

Tier 3 — personal collectionCollection only

Fees eat most of the margin. Grade to preserve a pristine pull, not for profit.

Gardenia #149raw $58.48 → PSA 10 $154.20 2.6×EV +$12.51Lunala ◇ #62raw $18.26 → PSA 10 $461.67 25.3×Leafeon-GX #13raw $10.37 → PSA 10 $82.08 7.9×EV +$12.97Missing Clover #168raw $10.20 → PSA 10 $80.87 7.9×EV +$21.87

Premiums and EV use tonight’s PSA prices and this set’s real gem rates — not projections.

What collectors say about Ultra Prism

Creators on Ultra Prism

▶Should I Open it? Or Should I Keep it Sealed? - Episode 161 - Ultra Prism (x3) #pokemontcgShortPocketMonster▶ULTRA PRISM IS HERE! - Opening NEW POKEMON CARDS! (must see)Leonhart▶Opening a Pokemon Ultra Prism Booster Box!PokeHEX▶POKEMON ULTRA PRISM BOOSTER BOX OPENING!!!Leonhart

Synthesized from widely-reported collector consensus — see a take that’s off? Use the report link on any card page.

Protect your Ultra Prism cards

This set has 3 cards worth $100+ — sleeve-and-toploader territory at minimum, and the chase cards deserve double-sleeving.

Affiliate links — purchases support CardPrice at no extra cost. Full guide: how to build & store a master set.

Related Sun & Moon sets

SM Trainer Kit: Alolan Sandslash & Alolan Ninetales2018 · 60 cardsForbidden Light2018 · 150 cardsCrimson Invasion2017 · 126 cardsShining Legends2017 · 81 cards