Set market cap
125 cards tracked dailyWhat to target in Fates Collide
The top 10 cards are 70% of the set’s $910.00 estimated singles cost — plan these first and the rest follows on a normal budget.
| # | Card | Number | Rarity | Market | PSA 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alakazam-EX | #125 | Rare Secret | $158.56 | $5,400.00 |
| 2 |  Umbreon-EX | #119 | Rare Ultra | $148.58 | $3,662.10 |
| 3 |  M Alakazam-EX | #118 | Rare Ultra | $83.21 | $862.50 |
| 4 |  Umbreon-EX | #55 | Rare Holo EX | $76.36 | $1,450.00 |
| 5 |  Glaceon-EX | #116 | Rare Ultra | $36.57 | $729.50 |
| 6 |  Alakazam-EX | #117 | Rare Ultra | $29.12 | $902.70 |
| 7 |  Snorlax | #77 | Rare | $29.02 | $441.08 |
| 8 |  Lugia BREAK | #79 | Rare BREAK | $26.68 | $733.14 |
| 9 |  Team Rocket's Handiwork | #124 | Rare Ultra | $26.32 | $382.71 |
| 10 |  M Altaria-EX | #121 | Rare Ultra | $24.77 | $775.00 |
How Fates Collide is built
Rarity breakdown
Price distribution
Most cards are bulk — the set’s value concentrates in a few chase cards.
Singles or sealed?
Sealed product comparison
Fates Collide pull-rate estimates
Community-estimated era averages from large pack-opening aggregates — not official Pokémon data. “Specific card” is the expected packs for ONE particular card of that rarity.
| Rarity | Cards in set | Any pull | Specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare Holo EX | 13 | 1 in 9 | 1 in 117 |
| Rare BREAK | 5 | 1 in 10 | 1 in 50 |
| Rare Ultra | 9 | 1 in 18 | 1 in 162 |
| Rare Secret | 1 | 1 in 130 | 1 in 130 |
Fates Collide promo cards
Black Star promos tied to Fates Collide — from its ETBs, collection boxes and prerelease events. They live in the XY Black Star Promos set, so a true master-set run includes them separately.
Which Fates Collide cards are worth grading?
Positive expected value after ~$25 fees at live PSA prices and this set's real gem rates.
Alakazam-EX #125raw $158.56 → PSA 10 $5,400.00 34.1×EV +$805.85Umbreon-EX #119raw $148.58 → PSA 10 $3,662.10 24.6×EV +$659.47M Alakazam-EX #118raw $83.21 → PSA 10 $862.50 10.4×EV +$184.55Umbreon-EX #55raw $76.36 → PSA 10 $1,450.00 19×EV +$303.66Glaceon-EX #116raw $36.57 → PSA 10 $729.50 19.9×EV +$134.18Alakazam-EX #117raw $29.12 → PSA 10 $902.70 31×EV +$162.29Fees eat most of the margin. Grade to preserve a pristine pull, not for profit.
Premiums and EV use tonight’s PSA prices and this set’s real gem rates — not projections.
Protect your Fates Collide cards
This set has 2 cards worth $100+ — sleeve-and-toploader territory at minimum, and the chase cards deserve double-sleeving.
Every card worth more than bulk goes in a sleeve before anything else touches it.
Amazon →eBay →The archival-safe standard for cards you handle — double-sleeve chase cards with a perfect-fit inner.
Amazon →eBay →Affiliate links — purchases support CardPrice at no extra cost. Full guide: how to build & store a master set.
Sealed products
![Shiny Kalos Tin [Xerneas EX]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/121394.jpg?v=3)
![Shiny Kalos Tin [Yveltal EX]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/121395.jpg?v=3)
![Fates Collide Three Pack Blister [Vivillon]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/118340.jpg?v=3)
![BREAK Evolution Box [Ho-oh and Lugia]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/121392.jpg?v=3)
![Fates Collide Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/276598.jpg?v=3)
All cards 129
Most valuable cards in Fates Collide
- Alakazam-EX #125 — $158.56
- Umbreon-EX #119 — $148.58
- N #105A — $117.22
- M Alakazam-EX #118 — $83.21
- Umbreon-EX #55 — $76.36
- Shauna #111A — $40.73
- Glaceon-EX #116 — $36.57
- Zygarde-EX #54A — $30.94
- Alakazam-EX #117 — $29.12
- Lugia BREAK #79 — $26.68
About Fates Collide
Fates Collide is a Pokémon TCG expansion in the XY series, released on 2016-05-02. The set contains 129 cards — 124 in the base set plus 5 secret rares. The combined market value of a complete set is currently $1,032.39, with Alakazam-EX #125 as the most valuable card at $158.56. Prices update nightly from live market data.