English TCG · Measured Pack Data · Live Prices
Scarlet & Violet 151 Pull Rates: 1 in How Many Packs?
The Kanto nostalgia set with the era’s friendliest secret-rare odds — a big reason it never stays on shelves. Illustration Rares land about one in twelve packs across a 16-card pool, and the seven SIRs come around one per 32 packs.
How we measure
Odds come from TCGplayer’s published sample plus 1,000+ community-logged packs — the largest samples publicly recorded for this set. The Pokémon Company never publishes official pull rates; treat rare tiers as ±20%. Card counts, prices and pack costs on this page come from CardPrice’s own live market data and refresh daily.
Every tier: any-card odds vs specific-card odds
| Tier | Cards | Any card of this tier | One specific card | Top card right now |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 12 | 1 in 4.6 | 1 in ~55 |  Charizard ex #6 — $8.39 |
| Ultra Rare | 16 | 1 in 14 | 1 in ~224 |  Charizard ex #183 — $40.15 |
| Illustration Rare | 16 | 1 in 12 | 1 in ~192 |  Charmander #168 — $95.04 |
| Special Illustration Rare the era’s best SIR rate | 7 | 1 in 32 | 1 in ~224 |  Charizard ex #199 — $356.95 |
| Hyper Rare (Gold) | 3 | 1 in 130 | 1 in ~390 |  Mew ex #205 — $24.32 |
Pull-odds calculator: your packs, your chances
Loose 151 packs trade around $29.53 today — roughly 6.6× the $4.49 print-era MSRP. The calculator prices your rips at the live number.
Any Double Rare: about 1 in 4.6 packs · One specific Double Rare card (of 12): about 1 in 55 packs
That’s the whole singles-vs-packs argument in two bars: tier hits come steadily, but a specific chase card usually costs less to buy outright than the packs it takes to pull it.
The cards everyone is chasing
- Charizard ex #199 — $356.95
Blastoise ex #200 — $133.47
Venusaur ex #198 — $113.66- Charmander #168 — $95.04
Squirtle #170 — $91.03
Frequently asked questions
What are the Scarlet & Violet 151 pull rates?
Measured from TCGplayer’s published sample plus 1,000+ community-logged packs: Double Rare about 1 in 4.6 packs, Ultra Rare about 1 in 14 packs, Illustration Rare about 1 in 12 packs, Special Illustration Rare about 1 in 32 packs, Hyper Rare (Gold) about 1 in 130 packs. The Pokémon Company never publishes official odds; these are measured rates with real sample variance.
How many packs to pull a specific 151 chase card?
Divide the tier rate across the pool: any Special Illustration Rare is about 1 in 32 packs and there are 7 of them, so one specific SIR runs roughly 1 in 224 packs — about $6,614.72 of packs at today's prices. Buying the single is almost always cheaper.
Is it better to buy 151 packs or singles?
Packs currently trade around $29.53 each. For any specific chase card the singles market wins by a wide margin; ripping pays in fun and tier-level hits, not expected value. The calculator shows the exact break-even for any tier and pack count.
How much do 151 packs cost?
Print-era MSRP was $4.49 per pack; loose packs currently trade around $29.53 on the resale market. All prices on this page refresh daily from live market data.