English TCG · Measured Pack Data · Live Prices
Destined Rivals Pull Rates: 1 in How Many Packs?
Team Rocket's return made this 2025's most-opened set. The measured numbers from the largest published sample: roughly 16% of packs hold some secret rare, but a specific SIR runs about 1 in 1,033 packs — the exact math that makes Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex cheaper to buy than to pull.
How we measure
Odds come from TCGplayer's published 8,000-pack opening — the largest samples publicly recorded for this set. The Pokémon Company never publishes official pull rates; treat rare tiers as ±20%. Card counts, prices and pack costs on this page come from CardPrice’s own live market data and refresh daily.
Every tier: any-card odds vs specific-card odds
| Tier | Cards | Any card of this tier | One specific card | Top card right now |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 17 | 1 in 4.5 | 1 in ~77 |  Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex #81 — $1.97 |
| Ultra Rare | 22 | 1 in 12 | 1 in ~264 |  Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex #213 — $19.94 |
| Illustration Rare | 23 | 1 in 12.5 | 1 in ~288 |  Misty's Psyduck #193 — $58.08 |
| Special Illustration Rare specific SIR ≈ 1 in 1,033 (TCGplayer) | 11 | 1 in 94 | 1 in ~1,034 |  Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex #231 — $428.32 |
| Hyper Rare (Gold) | 6 | 1 in 128 | 1 in ~768 |  Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex #240 — $55.76 |
Pull-odds calculator: your packs, your chances
Loose Destined Rivals packs trade around $9.17 today — roughly 2.0× the $4.49 print-era MSRP. The calculator prices your rips at the live number.
Any Double Rare: about 1 in 4.5 packs · One specific Double Rare card (of 17): about 1 in 77 packs
That’s the whole singles-vs-packs argument in two bars: tier hits come steadily, but a specific chase card usually costs less to buy outright than the packs it takes to pull it.
The cards everyone is chasing
- Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex #231 — $428.32
Cynthia's Garchomp ex #232 — $221.51
Ethan's Ho-Oh ex #230 — $150.06
Team Rocket's Moltres ex #229 — $93.22
Team Rocket's Nidoking ex #233 — $92.86
Frequently asked questions
What are the Destined Rivals pull rates?
Measured from TCGplayer's published 8,000-pack opening: Double Rare about 1 in 4.5 packs, Ultra Rare about 1 in 12 packs, Illustration Rare about 1 in 12.5 packs, Special Illustration Rare about 1 in 94 packs, Hyper Rare (Gold) about 1 in 128 packs. The Pokémon Company never publishes official odds; these are measured rates with real sample variance.
How many packs to pull a specific Destined Rivals chase card?
Divide the tier rate across the pool: any Special Illustration Rare is about 1 in 94 packs and there are 11 of them, so one specific SIR runs roughly 1 in 1,034 packs — about $9,481.78 of packs at today's prices. Buying the single is almost always cheaper.
Is it better to buy Destined Rivals packs or singles?
Packs currently trade around $9.17 each. For any specific chase card the singles market wins by a wide margin; ripping pays in fun and tier-level hits, not expected value. The calculator shows the exact break-even for any tier and pack count.
How much do Destined Rivals packs cost?
Print-era MSRP was $4.49 per pack; loose packs currently trade around $9.17 on the resale market. All prices on this page refresh daily from live market data.