English TCG · Measured Pack Data · Live Prices
Evolving Skies Pull Rates: 1 in How Many Packs?
The Moonbreon set — the most chased modern set ever printed, and the clearest packs-vs-singles lesson in the hobby. Loose packs now trade near $47 against a $3.99 print-era MSRP, and the marquee pull is a four-digit long shot.
How we measure
Odds come from TCGplayer's published 8,000-pack opening — the largest samples publicly recorded for this set. The Pokémon Company never publishes official pull rates; treat rare tiers as ±20%. Card counts, prices and pack costs on this page come from CardPrice’s own live market data and refresh daily.
Every tier: any-card odds vs specific-card odds
| Tier | Cards | Any card of this tier | One specific card | Top card right now |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pokémon V | 18 | 1 in 7.7 | 1 in ~139 |  Umbreon V #94 — $8.11 |
| Pokémon VMAX | 15 | 1 in 21 | 1 in ~315 |  Umbreon VMAX #95 — $28.27 |
| Full/Alt Art (Ultra) mixed full-art + alt-art pool — per-card odds below tell the real story | 38 | — | — |  Dragonite V #192 — $523.47 |
| Rainbow Rare | 22 | — | — |  Umbreon VMAX #215 — $2,283.14 |
| Gold (Secret) | 12 | — | — |  Darkness Energy #236 — $25.20 |
| Umbreon VMAX Alt Art ("Moonbreon") | 1 | 1 in 1,994 packs | — | Umbreon VMAX #215 — $2,283.14 |
| Any specific Alt-Art VMAX | 1 | ≈1 in 1,994 packs each | — | — |
Pull-odds calculator: your packs, your chances
Loose Evolving Skies packs trade around $46.71 today — roughly 11.7× the $3.99 print-era MSRP. The calculator prices your rips at the live number.
Any Pokémon V: about 1 in 7.7 packs · One specific Pokémon V card (of 18): about 1 in 139 packs
That’s the whole singles-vs-packs argument in two bars: tier hits come steadily, but a specific chase card usually costs less to buy outright than the packs it takes to pull it.
The cards everyone is chasing
- Umbreon VMAX #215 — $2,283.14
Rayquaza VMAX #218 — $1,255.44- Dragonite V #192 — $523.47
Rayquaza V #194 — $490.35
Leafeon VMAX #205 — $404.64
Frequently asked questions
What are the Evolving Skies pull rates?
Measured from TCGplayer's published 8,000-pack opening: Pokémon V about 1 in 7.7 packs, Pokémon VMAX about 1 in 21 packs. The Pokémon Company never publishes official odds; these are measured rates with real sample variance.
How many packs to pull a specific Evolving Skies chase card?
Divide the tier's rate across its card pool; the calculator on this page does it per tier, priced at today's real pack cost.
Is it better to buy Evolving Skies packs or singles?
Packs currently trade around $46.71 each. For any specific chase card the singles market wins by a wide margin; ripping pays in fun and tier-level hits, not expected value. The calculator shows the exact break-even for any tier and pack count.
How much do Evolving Skies packs cost?
Print-era MSRP was $3.99 per pack; loose packs currently trade around $46.71 on the resale market. All prices on this page refresh daily from live market data.