English TCG · Measured Pack Data · Live Prices
Prismatic Evolutions Pull Rates: 1 in How Many Packs?
The Eeveelution set broke every modern print-run record and still trades far above MSRP. Its structure is unusual: no standard Illustration Rare tier — the chase ladder jumps from Double Rares straight to a huge 32-card Special Illustration Rare pool, which is why "any SIR" comes fast but the one you want stays brutal.
How we measure
Odds come from TCGplayer's published 1,200-pack opening plus community aggregate trackers — the largest samples publicly recorded for this set. The Pokémon Company never publishes official pull rates; treat rare tiers as ±20%. Card counts, prices and pack costs on this page come from CardPrice’s own live market data and refresh daily.
Every tier: any-card odds vs specific-card odds
| Tier | Cards | Any card of this tier | One specific card | Top card right now |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 25 | 1 in 4.7 | 1 in ~118 | |
| ACE SPEC Rare | 6 | 1 in 20 | 1 in ~120 | |
| Ultra Rare | 12 | 1 in 13 | 1 in ~156 | |
| Special Illustration Rare the friendliest SIR rate of the era — but 32 of them | 32 | 1 in 45 | 1 in ~1,440 | |
| Hyper Rare (Gold) | 5 | 1 in 100 | 1 in ~500 |
Pull-odds calculator: your packs, your chances
Loose Prismatic Evolutions packs trade around $13.36 today — roughly 3.0× the $4.49 print-era MSRP. The calculator prices your rips at the live number.
Any Double Rare: about 1 in 4.7 packs · One specific Double Rare card (of 25): about 1 in 118 packs
That’s the whole singles-vs-packs argument in two bars: tier hits come steadily, but a specific chase card usually costs less to buy outright than the packs it takes to pull it.
The cards everyone is chasing
Umbreon ex #161 — $1,412.72
Sylveon ex #156 — $533.18
Leafeon ex #144 — $334.83
Espeon ex #155 — $314.38
Vaporeon ex #149 — $286.01
Frequently asked questions
What are the Prismatic Evolutions pull rates?
Measured from TCGplayer's published 1,200-pack opening plus community aggregate trackers: Double Rare about 1 in 4.7 packs, ACE SPEC Rare about 1 in 20 packs, Ultra Rare about 1 in 13 packs, Special Illustration Rare about 1 in 45 packs, Hyper Rare (Gold) about 1 in 100 packs. The Pokémon Company never publishes official odds; these are measured rates with real sample variance.
How many packs to pull a specific Prismatic Evolutions chase card?
Divide the tier rate across the pool: any Special Illustration Rare is about 1 in 45 packs and there are 32 of them, so one specific SIR runs roughly 1 in 1,440 packs — about $19,238.40 of packs at today's prices. Buying the single is almost always cheaper.
Is it better to buy Prismatic Evolutions packs or singles?
Packs currently trade around $13.36 each. For any specific chase card the singles market wins by a wide margin; ripping pays in fun and tier-level hits, not expected value. The calculator shows the exact break-even for any tier and pack count.
How much do Prismatic Evolutions packs cost?
Print-era MSRP was $4.49 per pack; loose packs currently trade around $13.36 on the resale market. All prices on this page refresh daily from live market data.