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Prismatic Evolutions Pull Rates: 1 in How Many Packs?

The Eeveelution set broke every modern print-run record and still trades far above MSRP. Its structure is unusual: no standard Illustration Rare tier — the chase ladder jumps from Double Rares straight to a huge 32-card Special Illustration Rare pool, which is why "any SIR" comes fast but the one you want stays brutal.

$14.00pack, today’s market
1 in 13Ultra Rare
1 in 45Special Illustration Rare
1 in 100Hyper Rare (Gold)

How we measure

Odds come from TCGplayer's published 1,200-pack opening plus community aggregate trackers — the largest samples publicly recorded for this set. The Pokémon Company never publishes official pull rates; treat rare tiers as ±20%. Card counts, prices and pack costs on this page come from CardPrice’s own live market data and refresh daily.

Every tier: any-card odds vs specific-card odds

TierCardsAny card of this tierOne specific cardTop card right now
Double Rare251 in 4.71 in ~118Umbreon ex #60 — $8.18
ACE SPEC Rare61 in 201 in ~120Max Rod #116 — $0.58
Ultra Rare121 in 131 in ~156Eri #136 — $0.93
Special Illustration Rare
the friendliest SIR rate of the era — but 32 of them
321 in 451 in ~1,440Umbreon ex #161 — $1,285.31
Hyper Rare (Gold)51 in 1001 in ~500Pikachu ex #179 — $48.85

Pull-odds calculator: your packs, your chances

Loose Prismatic Evolutions packs trade around $14.00 today — roughly 3.1× the $4.49 print-era MSRP. The calculator prices your rips at the live number.

Any Double Rare: about 1 in 4.7 packs · One specific Double Rare card (of 25): about 1 in 118 packs

Chance of at least one Double Rare>99%
Chance of the ONE card you want26%

That’s the whole singles-vs-packs argument in two bars: tier hits come steadily, but a specific chase card usually costs less to buy outright than the packs it takes to pull it.

The cards everyone is chasing

  1. Umbreon ex #161 — $1,285.31
  2. Sylveon ex #156 — $467.70
  3. Leafeon ex #144 — $315.40
  4. Espeon ex #155 — $293.69
  5. Vaporeon ex #149 — $264.93

Frequently asked questions

What are the Prismatic Evolutions pull rates?

Measured from TCGplayer's published 1,200-pack opening plus community aggregate trackers: Double Rare about 1 in 4.7 packs, ACE SPEC Rare about 1 in 20 packs, Ultra Rare about 1 in 13 packs, Special Illustration Rare about 1 in 45 packs, Hyper Rare (Gold) about 1 in 100 packs. The Pokémon Company never publishes official odds; these are measured rates with real sample variance.

How many packs to pull a specific Prismatic Evolutions chase card?

Divide the tier rate across the pool: any Special Illustration Rare is about 1 in 45 packs and there are 32 of them, so one specific SIR runs roughly 1 in 1,440 packs — about $20,160.00 of packs at today's prices. Buying the single is almost always cheaper.

Is it better to buy Prismatic Evolutions packs or singles?

Packs currently trade around $14.00 each. For any specific chase card the singles market wins by a wide margin; ripping pays in fun and tier-level hits, not expected value. The calculator shows the exact break-even for any tier and pack count.

How much do Prismatic Evolutions packs cost?

Print-era MSRP was $4.49 per pack; loose packs currently trade around $14.00 on the resale market. All prices on this page refresh daily from live market data.